La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente del Valle v Libertad Asuncion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente del Valle (Local)
Predicción 70.69%1.41momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -2.84%
Kelly -10.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.61%70.60%70.69%72.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.16%76.05%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Libertad Asuncion (Visitante)
Predicción 10.89%9.18momio equitativo
EV +8.94%
Ventaja +0.894%
Kelly +0.993%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.51%11.05%10.86%13.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.568.7510.0014.81%11.69%11.43%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.42%5.43momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.234%
Kelly +0.286%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.01%18.35%18.45%20.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.085.055.5023.81%19.67%19.80%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +8.94%E +0.894%K +0.993%G +0.089% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 2.8% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -0.553%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -33.99%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.35%EV +0.880%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.61%EV +0.184%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-19 13:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.47%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -3.04%E -0.342%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 22:36 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.57%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.47%EV +1.10%E +0.201%K +0.246%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 05:40 |
| GTbets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.66I 11.55%NM 11.09%EV -5.66%E -0.653%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.32%EV -3.50%E -0.668%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 19:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -8.49%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV -10.12%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 22:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 22:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 14:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -17.20%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.65%E -5.39%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-19 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.02%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.03%EV -19.38%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-19 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.40%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -21.02%E -2.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-19 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -26.46%E -3.92%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-19 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.24% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 23:00 |