مدرسة الاحتمالات

Independiente del Valle v Libertad Asuncion

البداية: 2026-05-20 02:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Independiente del Valle 4–1 Libertad Asuncion

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Independiente del Valle (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.69%1.41السعر العادل
EV -3.86%
الأفضلية -2.84%
Kelly -10.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.61%70.60%70.69%72.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.16%76.05%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Libertad Asuncion (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.89%9.18السعر العادل
EV +8.94%
الأفضلية +0.894%
Kelly +0.993%
النمو +0.089%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.51%11.05%10.86%13.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.758.568.7510.0014.81%11.69%11.43%10.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.42%5.43السعر العادل
EV +1.29%
الأفضلية +0.234%
Kelly +0.286%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.01%18.35%18.45%20.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.205.085.055.5023.81%19.67%19.80%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +8.94%E +0.894%K +0.993%G +0.089%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 16:09
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004%2.8%2026-05-19 13:49
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004%2.8%2026-05-19 13:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -0.553%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:49
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:49
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -33.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.35%EV +0.880%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.61%EV +0.184%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 13:25
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 13:49
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 13:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Suprabets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.47%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -3.04%E -0.342%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 22:36
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.57%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.47%EV +1.10%E +0.201%K +0.246%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 05:40
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 05:40
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.66I 11.55%NM 11.09%EV -5.66%E -0.653%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.32%EV -3.50%E -0.668%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 19:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004%6.9%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:39
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 19:05
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -8.49%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV -10.12%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:38
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 14:09
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -17.20%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 14:10
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.65%E -5.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.02%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.03%EV -19.38%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.40%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -21.02%E -2.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:30
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:29
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -26.46%E -3.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-19 13:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.24%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-05-19 23:00