Die Schule der Quoten

Independiente del Valle v Libertad Asuncion

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-20 02:00 UTC

Endstand: Independiente del Valle 4–1 Libertad Asuncion

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Independiente del Valle (Heim)

Prognose 70.69%1.41faire Quote
EV -3.86%
Vorteil -2.84%
Kelly -10.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.61%70.60%70.69%72.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.16%76.05%73.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Libertad Asuncion (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.89%9.18faire Quote
EV +8.94%
Vorteil +0.894%
Kelly +0.993%
Wachstum +0.089%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.51%11.05%10.86%13.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.758.568.7510.0014.81%11.69%11.43%10.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 18.42%5.43faire Quote
EV +1.29%
Vorteil +0.234%
Kelly +0.286%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.01%18.35%18.45%20.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.205.085.055.5023.81%19.67%19.80%18.18%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +8.94%E +0.894%K +0.993%G +0.089%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 16:09
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004%2.8%2026-05-19 13:49
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.57%E -3.38%K -13.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004%2.8%2026-05-19 13:50
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -0.553%E -0.102%K -0.126%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:49
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:49
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.35%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.90%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.51%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -2.39%E -0.452%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:50
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -9.52%E -7.44%K -33.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV +3.49%E +0.368%K +0.411%G +0.014%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.35%EV +0.880%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.61%EV +0.184%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 22:39
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 22:39
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 13:25
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 13:49
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.09%EV -10.93%E -8.68%K -42.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 13:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -1.95%E -0.217%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-19 22:59
Suprabets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.47%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -3.04%E -0.342%K -0.385%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 22:36
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.59%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.59%EV -4.13%E -0.470%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.57%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.47%EV +1.10%E +0.201%K +0.246%G +0.003%4.3%2026-05-19 22:39
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 05:40
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 05:40
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.28%E -3.94%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.87%EV -4.68%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.12%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 05:40
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.66I 11.55%NM 11.09%EV -5.66%E -0.653%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.32%EV -3.50%E -0.668%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 19:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV +1.29%E +0.234%K +0.286%G +0.004%6.9%2026-05-19 22:39
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:39
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 22:59
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -27.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.871%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 19:05
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.86%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -8.49%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -3.32%E -0.632%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 22:39
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.56%EV -10.12%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -4.24%E -0.815%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 22:38
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.85%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 14:09
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.10%EV -17.20%E -2.26%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 14:10
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.86%E -2.84%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.65%E -5.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.02%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.03%EV -19.38%E -2.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-19 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.40%EV -6.69%E -5.07%K -20.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -21.02%E -2.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.96%EV -6.08%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:30
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:29
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -5.98%E -4.50%K -18.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -8.81%E -6.83%K -30.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -26.46%E -3.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-19 13:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.55%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.42%0.7%2026-05-19 22:59
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.24%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.1%2026-05-19 23:00