預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Flamengo-RJ v Independiente del Valle

開賽時間: 2026-09-18 00:30 UTC

最終賽果: Flamengo-RJ 1–1 Independiente del Valle

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

45 家博彩公司 (14 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Flamengo-RJ (主隊)

預測 74.70%1.34公平賠率
EV -2.15%
優勢 -1.64%
Kelly -6.93%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.31

博彩公司預測分布
71.74%74.56%74.67%76.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.181.251.251.3184.75%79.96%80.00%76.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Independiente del Valle (客隊)

預測 9.38%10.66公平賠率
EV +7.92%
優勢 +0.688%
Kelly +0.754%
成長率 +0.060%

假設最高賠率為 11.50

博彩公司預測分布
8.26%9.35%9.37%11.96%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.509.7410.0011.5013.33%10.27%10.00%8.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 15.92%6.28公平賠率
EV +4.11%
優勢 +0.629%
Kelly +0.742%
成長率 +0.031%

假設最高賠率為 6.54

博彩公司預測分布
14.47%16.08%15.96%17.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.005.685.756.5420.00%17.60%17.39%15.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Flamengo-RJ (主隊):74.70%;Independiente del Valle (客隊):9.38%;和局:15.92%。 對於「Independiente del Valle (客隊)」,該估計相當於10.66的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為11.50,對應+7.92%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (45 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.13%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.26%EV +5.57%E +0.495%K +0.543%G +0.030%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.61%EV -5.28%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -1.30%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:20
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.97I 9.12%NM 8.68%EV +2.94%E +0.268%K +0.295%G +0.009%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.69%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.94%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 8.99%EV -0.623%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.08%EV -5.76%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 00:15
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:40
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 00:19
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:20
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 00:23
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 00:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 00:25
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.18%EV -2.15%E -1.64%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.44I 10.59%NM 10.29%EV -11.41%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -0.344%E -0.055%K -0.065%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 00:25
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.61%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.11%E +0.629%K +0.742%G +0.031%5.6%2026-09-18 00:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.503%E -0.081%K -0.096%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 00:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 00:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-09-18 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-09-18 00:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-09-18 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-09-18 00:20