StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Flamengo-RJ v Independiente del Valle

Matchstart: 2026-09-18 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Flamengo-RJ 1–1 Independiente del Valle

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Flamengo-RJ (Hemma)

Prognos 74.70%1.34rättvist odds
EV -2.15%
Fördel -1.64%
Kelly -6.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.74%74.56%74.67%76.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.181.251.251.3184.75%79.96%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Independiente del Valle (Borta)

Prognos 9.38%10.66rättvist odds
EV +7.92%
Fördel +0.688%
Kelly +0.754%
Tillväxt +0.060%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.26%9.35%9.37%11.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.509.7410.0011.5013.33%10.27%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 15.92%6.28rättvist odds
EV +4.11%
Fördel +0.629%
Kelly +0.742%
Tillväxt +0.031%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.47%16.08%15.96%17.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.685.756.5420.00%17.60%17.39%15.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Flamengo-RJ (Hemma): 74.70%; Independiente del Valle (Borta): 9.38%; Oavgjort: 15.92%. För Independiente del Valle (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.66. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.92%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.13%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.26%EV +5.57%E +0.495%K +0.543%G +0.030%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.61%EV -5.28%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -1.30%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:25
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:20
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.97I 9.12%NM 8.68%EV +2.94%E +0.268%K +0.295%G +0.009%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.69%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.94%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.59I 9.44%NM 8.99%EV -0.623%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.08%EV -5.76%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 00:15
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 23:40
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 00:19
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:20
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:25
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:20
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 00:23
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 00:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.88%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 00:25
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.18%EV -2.15%E -1.64%K -6.93%G +0.000%9.44I 10.59%NM 10.29%EV -11.41%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -0.344%E -0.055%K -0.065%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 00:25
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.61%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.11%E +0.629%K +0.742%G +0.031%5.6%2026-09-18 00:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.503%E -0.081%K -0.096%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 00:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 00:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 00:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-09-18 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.6%2026-09-18 00:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-09-18 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-09-18 00:20