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Flamengo-RJ v Independiente del Valle
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Flamengo-RJ (Heim)
Prognose 74.70%1.34faire Quote
EV -2.15%
Vorteil -1.64%
Kelly -6.93%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.74%74.56%74.67%76.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.181.251.251.3184.75%79.96%80.00%76.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Independiente del Valle (Auswärts)
Prognose 9.38%10.66faire Quote
EV +7.92%
Vorteil +0.688%
Kelly +0.754%
Wachstum +0.060%
bei einer Höchstquote von 11.50
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.26%9.35%9.37%11.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.509.7410.0011.5013.33%10.27%10.00%8.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 15.92%6.28faire Quote
EV +4.11%
Vorteil +0.629%
Kelly +0.742%
Wachstum +0.031%
bei einer Höchstquote von 6.54
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.47%16.08%15.96%17.79%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.685.756.5420.00%17.60%17.39%15.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Flamengo-RJ (Heim): 74.70%; Independiente del Valle (Auswärts): 9.38%; Unentschieden: 15.92%. Für Independiente del Valle (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.66. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.92%.
Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.13%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.26%EV +5.57%E +0.495%K +0.543%G +0.030% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.61%EV -5.28%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -1.30%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.97I 9.12%NM 8.68%EV +2.94%E +0.268%K +0.295%G +0.009% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.69%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.94%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.59I 9.44%NM 8.99%EV -0.623%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.08%EV -5.76%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 00:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 00:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.18%EV -2.15%E -1.64%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.44I 10.59%NM 10.29%EV -11.41%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -0.344%E -0.055%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.61%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.11%E +0.629%K +0.742%G +0.031% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.503%E -0.081%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (4)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |