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Flamengo-RJ v Independiente del Valle
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Flamengo-RJ (主队)
预测 74.70%1.34公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -6.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.31
博彩公司预测分布
71.74%74.56%74.67%76.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.251.251.3184.75%79.96%80.00%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente del Valle (客队)
预测 9.38%10.66公平赔率
EV +7.92%
优势 +0.688%
Kelly +0.754%
增长率 +0.060%
假设最高赔率为 11.50
博彩公司预测分布
8.26%9.35%9.37%11.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.509.7410.0011.5013.33%10.27%10.00%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 15.92%6.28公平赔率
EV +4.11%
优势 +0.629%
Kelly +0.742%
增长率 +0.031%
假设最高赔率为 6.54
博彩公司预测分布
14.47%16.08%15.96%17.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.685.756.5420.00%17.60%17.39%15.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Flamengo-RJ (主队)：74.70%；Independiente del Valle (客队)：9.38%；平局：15.92%。 对于“Independiente del Valle (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.66。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.50，对应+7.92%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.78%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.45%EV +7.92%E +0.688%K +0.754%G +0.060% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.76%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.13%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.26%EV +5.57%E +0.495%K +0.543%G +0.030% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.61%EV -5.28%E -0.887%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -1.30%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +3.22%E +0.293%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -6.08%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.97I 9.12%NM 8.68%EV +2.94%E +0.268%K +0.295%G +0.009% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -3.69%E -0.609%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.94%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.59I 9.44%NM 8.99%EV -0.623%E -0.059%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.08%EV -5.76%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -1.47%E -0.140%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.19%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -7.67%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.41%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -14.04%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.38%E -5.95%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -6.16%E -0.616%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.82%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -15.63%E -2.95%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 00:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.36%E -8.64%K -51.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 00:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -11.86%E -10.05%K -65.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -10.85%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.18%EV -2.15%E -1.64%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.44I 10.59%NM 10.29%EV -11.41%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 15.52%EV -0.344%E -0.055%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.12%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.40%EV -14.61%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.47%EV +4.11%E +0.629%K +0.742%G +0.031% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -0.503%E -0.081%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.34%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -17.22%E -3.31%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.87%E -7.27%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.48%E -0.747%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -15.54%E -1.73%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -29.62%E -3.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 00:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.09% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.88% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |