Language:English
Flamengo-RJ v Estudiantes La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Prediction 60.91%1.64fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -7.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.30%61.02%61.14%64.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.521.5770.42%66.11%65.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 13.76%7.26fair odd
EV +10.12%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.146%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.77%13.80%13.61%16.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.886.978.0018.18%14.53%14.34%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.54%25.18%25.26%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.693.684.1030.30%27.07%27.17%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flamengo-RJ (Local): 60.91%; Estudiantes La Plata (Visit): 13.76%; Draw: 25.33%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.26. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -11.68%E -8.06%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.96%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.90%EV +2.14%E +0.288%K +0.333%G +0.007% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.15%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.57%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.89%EV +1.86%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV +2.57%E +0.634%K +0.841%G +0.022% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.05%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV +1.31%E +0.178%K +0.206%G +0.003% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.624%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV -5.85%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.17%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.24%E -6.20%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.67%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.67%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.17%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.59%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -22.92%E -4.09%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |