مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flamengo-RJ v Estudiantes La Plata

البداية: 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Flamengo-RJ 1–0 Estudiantes La Plata

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flamengo-RJ (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.91%1.64السعر العادل
EV -4.37%
الأفضلية -2.78%
Kelly -7.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.30%61.02%61.14%64.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.511.521.5770.42%66.11%65.57%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Estudiantes La Plata (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.76%7.26السعر العادل
EV +10.12%
الأفضلية +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.146%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.77%13.80%13.61%16.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.886.978.0018.18%14.53%14.34%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.33%3.95السعر العادل
EV +3.83%
الأفضلية +0.935%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.047%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.54%25.18%25.26%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.693.684.1030.30%27.07%27.17%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.1%2026-05-21 00:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:59
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -11.68%E -8.06%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 00:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.96%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.90%EV +2.14%E +0.288%K +0.333%G +0.007%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.15%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.57%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.89%EV +1.86%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV +2.57%E +0.634%K +0.841%G +0.022%4.9%2026-05-20 19:40
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.05%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV +1.31%E +0.178%K +0.206%G +0.003%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 00:09
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 00:10
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 00:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 00:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 00:09
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.624%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV -5.85%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.17%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:19
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 00:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.24%E -6.20%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 00:08
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 00:20
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.67%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.67%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.17%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.59%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -22.92%E -4.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 00:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-05-21 00:20