L’École des cotes

Flamengo-RJ v Estudiantes La Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

Score final : Flamengo-RJ 1–0 Estudiantes La Plata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flamengo-RJ (Local)

Prévision 60.91%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -7.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.30%61.02%61.14%64.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.521.5770.42%66.11%65.57%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Estudiantes La Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.76%7.26cote équitable
EV +10.12%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.146%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.77%13.80%13.61%16.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.886.978.0018.18%14.53%14.34%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.33%3.95cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +0.935%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.54%25.18%25.26%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.693.684.1030.30%27.07%27.17%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.1%2026-05-21 00:00
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:59
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -11.68%E -8.06%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 00:00
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.96%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.90%EV +2.14%E +0.288%K +0.333%G +0.007%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.15%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.57%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.89%EV +1.86%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV +2.57%E +0.634%K +0.841%G +0.022%4.9%2026-05-20 19:40
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.05%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV +1.31%E +0.178%K +0.206%G +0.003%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 00:09
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 00:10
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 00:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 00:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 00:09
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.624%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV -5.85%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.17%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:19
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 00:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.24%E -6.20%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 00:08
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 00:20
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.67%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.67%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.17%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.59%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -22.92%E -4.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 00:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-05-21 00:20