StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flamengo-RJ v Estudiantes La Plata

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-21 00:30 UTC

Endstand: Flamengo-RJ 1–0 Estudiantes La Plata

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flamengo-RJ (Heim)

Prognose 60.91%1.64faire Quote
EV -4.37%
Vorteil -2.78%
Kelly -7.67%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.30%61.02%61.14%64.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.421.511.521.5770.42%66.11%65.57%63.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes La Plata (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.76%7.26faire Quote
EV +10.12%
Vorteil +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Wachstum +0.146%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.77%13.80%13.61%16.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.886.978.0018.18%14.53%14.34%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.33%3.95faire Quote
EV +3.83%
Vorteil +0.935%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.047%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.54%25.18%25.26%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.693.684.1030.30%27.07%27.17%24.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Flamengo-RJ (Heim): 60.91%; Estudiantes La Plata (Auswärts): 13.76%; Unentschieden: 25.33%. Für Estudiantes La Plata (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.26. 16 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +10.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.1%2026-05-21 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:59
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -11.68%E -8.06%K -25.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.96%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.42I 13.48%NM 12.90%EV +2.14%E +0.288%K +0.333%G +0.007%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.15%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.57%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.89%EV +1.86%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV +2.57%E +0.634%K +0.841%G +0.022%4.9%2026-05-20 19:40
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.05%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV +1.31%E +0.178%K +0.206%G +0.003%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 00:10
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 00:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 00:00
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-21 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 00:09
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.624%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:20
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV -5.85%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.17%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:19
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 00:20
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:10
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.24%E -6.20%K -18.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 00:08
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-21 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.67%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.67%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.17%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.59%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -22.92%E -4.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 00:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 00:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-05-21 00:20
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-05-21 00:20