La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flamengo-RJ v Estudiantes La Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Predicción 60.91%1.64momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -7.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.30%61.02%61.14%64.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.521.5770.42%66.11%65.57%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Estudiantes La Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 13.76%7.26momio equitativo
EV +10.12%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.146%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.77%13.80%13.61%16.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.886.978.0018.18%14.53%14.34%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV +3.83%
Ventaja +0.935%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.54%25.18%25.26%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.693.684.1030.30%27.07%27.17%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.12%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.83%E +0.935%K +1.24%G +0.047% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV +0.034%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.07%EV -10.46%E -7.12%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.12%E +1.26%K +1.45%G +0.146% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.08%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.46%EV +5.30%E +0.693%K +0.797%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.89%EV -11.68%E -8.06%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -1.23%E -0.316%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -13.51%E -9.51%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +3.24%E +0.432%K +0.498%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.96%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.90%EV +2.14%E +0.288%K +0.333%G +0.007% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.15%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.57%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.89%EV +1.86%E +0.251%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV +2.57%E +0.634%K +0.841%G +0.022% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.05%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV +1.31%E +0.178%K +0.206%G +0.003% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.80%EV -0.204%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.65%E -0.521%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.60%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.624%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.52%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.94%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.728%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV -5.85%E -0.855%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.17%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -4.37%E -2.78%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.53%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.24%E -6.20%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -13.97%E -2.24%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 00:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -14.66%E -2.36%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.56%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.67%EV -4.98%E -3.19%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.67%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -17.41%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.17%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.76%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.59%EV -9.85%E -6.66%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -20.16%E -3.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.76%EV -8.63%E -5.76%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -22.92%E -4.09%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -24.29%E -4.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.36%E -3.25%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 00:20 |