Language:English
Cruzeiro v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cruzeiro (Local)
Prediction 63.10%1.58fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -6.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.66%63.30%63.16%68.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.451.451.5374.63%69.12%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)
Prediction 14.01%7.14fair odd
EV +26.10%
Edge +2.90%
Kelly +3.26%
Growth +0.851%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.73%13.79%14.01%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.046.759.0018.18%14.21%14.81%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.89%4.37fair odd
EV +7.59%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.156%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.79%22.91%22.83%24.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.104.104.7027.78%24.37%24.39%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cruzeiro (Local): 63.10%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 14.01%; Draw: 22.89%. For Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.14. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.86%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%EV +7.59%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.156% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.04%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -11.03%E -7.82%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.35%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.95%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.47%EV +7.74%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.090% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -6.83%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -1.92%E -0.275%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.85%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -2.62%E -0.378%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -10.33%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 21:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -13.13%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.59%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.59%EV -16.07%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.30%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.04%EV -18.74%E -3.23%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.66%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -10.40%E -7.32%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -20.14%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |