L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Cruzeiro v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruzeiro (Local)
Prévision 63.10%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -6.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.66%63.30%63.16%68.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.451.451.5374.63%69.12%68.97%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.01%7.14cote équitable
EV +26.10%
Avantage +2.90%
Kelly +3.26%
Croissance +0.851%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.73%13.79%14.01%16.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.507.046.759.0018.18%14.21%14.81%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.89%4.37cote équitable
EV +7.59%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.156%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.79%22.91%22.83%24.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.104.104.7027.78%24.37%24.39%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.86%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%EV +7.59%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.156% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.04%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -11.03%E -7.82%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.35%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.95%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.47%EV +7.74%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.090% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -6.83%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -1.92%E -0.275%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.85%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -2.62%E -0.378%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -10.33%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 21:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -13.13%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.59%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.59%EV -16.07%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.30%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.04%EV -18.74%E -3.23%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.66%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -10.40%E -7.32%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -20.14%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |