مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cruzeiro v Universidad Católica (CHI)

البداية: 2026-04-15 22:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cruzeiro 1–2 Universidad Católica (CHI)

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cruzeiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.10%1.58السعر العادل
EV -3.46%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -6.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.66%63.30%63.16%68.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.451.451.5374.63%69.12%68.97%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.01%7.14السعر العادل
EV +26.10%
الأفضلية +2.90%
Kelly +3.26%
النمو +0.851%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.73%13.79%14.01%16.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.507.046.759.0018.18%14.21%14.81%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.89%4.37السعر العادل
EV +7.59%
الأفضلية +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
النمو +0.156%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.79%22.91%22.83%24.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.104.104.7027.78%24.37%24.39%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.86%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%EV +7.59%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.156%2.3%2026-04-15 22:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.04%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078%2.8%2026-04-15 22:00
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -11.03%E -7.82%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078%4.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 22:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 22:00
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.35%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 21:59
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.95%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.47%EV +7.74%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.090%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -6.83%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:59
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:59
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 22:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -1.92%E -0.275%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.85%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -2.62%E -0.378%K -0.441%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:59
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 21:59
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 21:59
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 21:59
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 22:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 22:00
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -10.33%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 21:59
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 21:58
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:59
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -13.13%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.59%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-15 22:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.59%EV -16.07%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.30%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.04%EV -18.74%E -3.23%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.66%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-15 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -10.40%E -7.32%K -24.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -20.14%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-15 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 22:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.40%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-04-15 22:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-04-15 22:00