La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cruzeiro v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cruzeiro (Local)
Predicción 63.10%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -6.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.66%63.30%63.16%68.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.451.451.5374.63%69.12%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)
Predicción 14.01%7.14momio equitativo
EV +26.10%
Ventaja +2.90%
Kelly +3.26%
Crecimiento +0.851%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.73%13.79%14.01%16.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.507.046.759.0018.18%14.21%14.81%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.89%4.37momio equitativo
EV +7.59%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.79%22.91%22.83%24.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.104.7027.78%24.37%24.39%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.86%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%EV +7.59%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.156% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.04%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -11.03%E -7.82%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.35%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.95%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.47%EV +7.74%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.090% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -6.83%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -1.92%E -0.275%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.85%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -2.62%E -0.378%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -10.33%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 21:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -13.13%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.59%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 15.59%EV -16.07%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.30%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.04%EV -18.74%E -3.23%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.66%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -10.40%E -7.32%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -20.14%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 22:00 |