La scuola delle quote

Cruzeiro v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Inizio: 2026-04-15 22:04 UTC

Finale: Cruzeiro 1–2 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruzeiro (Casa)

Previsione 63.10%1.58quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -2.26%
Kelly -6.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.66%63.30%63.16%68.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.451.451.5374.63%69.12%68.97%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.01%7.14quota equa
EV +26.10%
Vantaggio +2.90%
Kelly +3.26%
Crescita +0.851%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.73%13.79%14.01%16.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.507.046.759.0018.18%14.21%14.81%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.89%4.37quota equa
EV +7.59%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescita +0.156%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.79%22.91%22.83%24.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.104.104.7027.78%24.37%24.39%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 68.35%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.86%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%EV +7.59%E +1.61%K +2.05%G +0.156%2.3%2026-04-15 22:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.04%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +26.10%E +2.90%K +3.26%G +0.851%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.15%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078%2.8%2026-04-15 22:00
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -11.03%E -7.82%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.82%EV +5.30%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.078%4.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.75%EV -12.92%E -9.37%K -34.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV +0.720%E +0.164%K +0.212%G +0.002%7.0%2026-04-15 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 22:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.06%EV -15.45%E -11.53%K -45.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV +19.09%E +2.25%K +2.55%G +0.486%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.21%EV -1.57%E -0.365%K -0.475%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 22:00
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.35%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 21:59
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.34%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +12.09%E +1.51%K +1.73%G +0.209%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -0.424%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.95%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.47%EV +7.74%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.090%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.57%EV -6.83%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 21:59
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:59
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV +5.08%E +0.678%K +0.782%G +0.040%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 22:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -1.92%E -0.275%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.85%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -2.62%E -0.378%K -0.441%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:59
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 21:59
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -5.98%E -4.02%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -3.32%E -0.482%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 21:59
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 21:59
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -5.43%E -0.804%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 22:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 21:59
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 21:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -8.93%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.01%E -3.42%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-15 22:00
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 63.29%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -10.33%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 21:59
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 21:58
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.24%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -12.43%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.09%EV -5.00%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:59
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.83%EV -7.88%E -5.40%K -17.12%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -13.13%E -2.12%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -6.15%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -3.86%E -0.919%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.93%E -2.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.59%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-15 22:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.85%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.59%EV -16.07%E -2.68%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.56%EV -5.23%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 21:59
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.30%EV -11.66%E -8.33%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.04%EV -18.74%E -3.23%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.66%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-15 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.17%EV -10.40%E -7.32%K -24.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -20.14%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -9.58%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-15 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 21:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -22.94%E -4.17%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 22:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.13%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-04-15 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.40%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-04-15 22:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-04-15 22:00