语言:简体中文
Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cerro Porteño (主队)
预测 19.44%5.14公平赔率
EV +3.41%
优势 +0.641%
Kelly +0.789%
增长率 +0.027%
假设最高赔率为 5.32
博彩公司预测分布
17.84%19.39%19.54%20.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.794.755.3222.73%20.86%21.05%18.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
Palmeiras-SP (客队)
预测 51.35%1.95公平赔率
EV -4.99%
优势 -2.70%
Kelly -5.87%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
50.31%51.41%51.34%53.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.71%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.21%3.42公平赔率
EV -0.695%
优势 -0.204%
Kelly -0.289%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.56%29.20%29.12%30.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.163.203.4033.33%31.65%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cerro Porteño (主队)：19.44%；Palmeiras-SP (客队)：51.35%；平局：29.21%。 对于“Cerro Porteño (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.14。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.32，对应+3.41%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV +3.41%E +0.641%K +0.789%G +0.027% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.67%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.23%EV -5.51%E -2.99%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.54%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.89%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -7.12%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.62%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -10.64%E -6.12%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.09%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |