Langue:Français
Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cerro Porteño (Local)
Prévision 19.44%5.14cote équitable
EV +3.41%
Avantage +0.641%
Kelly +0.789%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 5.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.84%19.39%19.54%20.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.794.755.3222.73%20.86%21.05%18.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.35%1.95cote équitable
EV -4.99%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -5.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.31%51.41%51.34%53.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.71%55.56%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.695%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.289%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.56%29.20%29.12%30.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.203.4033.33%31.65%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cerro Porteño (Local) : 19.44% ; Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur) : 51.35% ; Match nul : 29.21%. Pour Cerro Porteño (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.14. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.32, soit une espérance positive de +3.41%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV +3.41%E +0.641%K +0.789%G +0.027% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.67%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.23%EV -5.51%E -2.99%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.54%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.89%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -7.12%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.62%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -10.64%E -6.12%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.09%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |