Язык:Русский
Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cerro Porteño (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.44%5.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.41%
Преимущество +0.641%
Kelly +0.789%
Рост +0.027%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.84%19.39%19.54%20.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.794.755.3222.73%20.86%21.05%18.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Palmeiras-SP (Гости)
Прогноз 51.35%1.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.99%
Преимущество -2.70%
Kelly -5.87%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.31%51.41%51.34%53.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.71%55.56%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.21%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.695%
Преимущество -0.204%
Kelly -0.289%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.56%29.20%29.12%30.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.163.203.4033.33%31.65%31.25%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cerro Porteño (Хозяева): 19.44%; Palmeiras-SP (Гости): 51.35%; Ничья: 29.21%. Для исхода «Cerro Porteño (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.14. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.32, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.41%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV +3.41%E +0.641%K +0.789%G +0.027% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.67%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.23%EV -5.51%E -2.99%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.54%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.89%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -7.12%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.62%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -10.64%E -6.12%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.09%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-19 21:05 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |