StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-19 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Cerro Porteño 0–1 Palmeiras-SP

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

48 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cerro Porteño (Heim)

Prognose 19.44%5.14faire Quote
EV +3.41%
Vorteil +0.641%
Kelly +0.789%
Wachstum +0.027%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.84%19.39%19.54%20.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.404.794.755.3222.73%20.86%21.05%18.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Palmeiras-SP (Auswärts)

Prognose 51.35%1.95faire Quote
EV -4.99%
Vorteil -2.70%
Kelly -5.87%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.31%51.41%51.34%53.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.71%55.56%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.21%3.42faire Quote
EV -0.695%
Vorteil -0.204%
Kelly -0.289%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.56%29.20%29.12%30.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.163.203.4033.33%31.65%31.25%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cerro Porteño (Heim): 19.44%; Palmeiras-SP (Auswärts): 51.35%; Unentschieden: 29.21%. Für Cerro Porteño (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.14. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.32 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.41%.

Wettanbieterquoten (48 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 17.84%EV +3.41%E +0.641%K +0.789%G +0.027%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.32%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.85%EV -3.91%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.73%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%EV -0.695%E -0.204%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 21:55
Coolbet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.08%E +0.207%K +0.256%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 21:10
Pinnacle🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.67%EV -0.090%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.69%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 21:10
BetUS🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -0.867%E -0.170%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 21:10
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.23%EV -5.51%E -2.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 21:45
Suprabets🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -2.81%E -0.562%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 21:09
GTbets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.19%EV -7.05%E -3.89%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.54%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:05
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 21:55
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 21:55
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -4.75%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.19%EV -8.07%E -4.51%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 21:56
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 21:05
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 21:56
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 21:10
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 21:50
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -6.70%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 21:05
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:05
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 21:35
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 21:55
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -7.67%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 21:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.89%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -7.12%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.64%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.62%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 21:10
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 21:35
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 21:35
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.54%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -10.64%E -6.12%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.09%EV -8.59%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-19 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.59%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.46%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-19 21:35
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.00%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:10
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:10
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.38%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 21:56
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -12.53%E -2.78%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.92%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -14.47%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.08%EV -11.67%E -6.78%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -5.08%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-19 21:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%0.5%2026-08-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%0.5%2026-08-19 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%0.5%2026-08-19 21:50
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.22%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-19 21:50