A Escola das Odds

Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP

Início: 2026-04-30 00:30 UTC

Final: Cerro Porteño 1–1 Palmeiras-SP

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cerro Porteño (Local)

Previsão 23.15%4.32odd justa
EV +11.14%
Vantagem +2.32%
Kelly +2.93%
Crescimento +0.327%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.08%22.97%22.92%24.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.144.134.8029.41%24.18%24.21%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras-SP (Visitante)

Previsão 47.81%2.09odd justa
EV -4.85%
Vantagem -2.44%
Kelly -4.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.23%48.15%47.99%52.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.881.901.9957.14%53.19%52.63%50.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.03%3.44odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.461%
Kelly +0.646%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.22%28.88%29.09%29.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.233.253.5034.48%30.93%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-21 22:20
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-21 22:19
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +8.83%E +1.88%K +2.39%G +0.211%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -13.46%E -7.44%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:20
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:20
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:20
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:19
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -14.42%E -8.05%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 22:19
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 22:20
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:40
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:39
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV +0.261%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 16:29
1xBet4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.26%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:20
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:23
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:49
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:45
GTbets4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.26%EV -6.51%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 00:14
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 16:29
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 22:19
Pinnacle4.13I 24.21%NM 22.88%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.22%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -5.06%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:50
LowVig.ag4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:29
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:35
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 16:29
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:00
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:00
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:04
Suprabets3.98I 25.13%NM 23.02%EV -7.84%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.00%EV -8.26%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:52
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -10.85%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 00:40
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:29
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:29
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:35
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 11:23
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.02%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.59%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.27%E -6.26%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.23%EV -12.98%E -7.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.02%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-23 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.34%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.54%13.6%2026-04-23 11:20