L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cerro Porteño (Local)
Prévision 23.15%4.32cote équitable
EV +11.14%
Avantage +2.32%
Kelly +2.93%
Croissance +0.327%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.08%22.97%22.92%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.144.134.8029.41%24.18%24.21%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palmeiras-SP (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.81%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.85%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.23%48.15%47.99%52.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.881.901.9957.14%53.19%52.63%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.03%3.44cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.461%
Kelly +0.646%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.22%28.88%29.09%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.233.253.5034.48%30.93%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +8.83%E +1.88%K +2.39%G +0.211% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -13.46%E -7.44%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -14.42%E -8.05%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV +0.261%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.26%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:23 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| GTbets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.26%EV -6.51%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Pinnacle | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.88%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.22%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -5.06%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| Suprabets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.02%EV -7.84%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.00%EV -8.26%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -10.85%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 11:23 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.02%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.59%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.27%E -6.26%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.23%EV -12.98%E -7.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.02%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.34% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.54% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |