مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Cerro Porteño (المضيف)
التنبؤ 23.15%4.32السعر العادل
EV +11.14%
الأفضلية +2.32%
Kelly +2.93%
النمو +0.327%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.08%22.97%22.92%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.144.134.8029.41%24.18%24.21%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Palmeiras-SP (الضيف)
التنبؤ 47.81%2.09السعر العادل
EV -4.85%
الأفضلية -2.44%
Kelly -4.90%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.99
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.23%48.15%47.99%52.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.881.901.9957.14%53.19%52.63%50.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.03%3.44السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.461%
Kelly +0.646%
النمو +0.010%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.22%28.88%29.09%29.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.233.253.5034.48%30.93%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +8.83%E +1.88%K +2.39%G +0.211% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -13.46%E -7.44%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -14.42%E -8.05%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV +0.261%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.26%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:23 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| GTbets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.26%EV -6.51%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Pinnacle | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.88%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.22%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -5.06%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| Suprabets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.02%EV -7.84%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.00%EV -8.26%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -10.85%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 11:23 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.02%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.59%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.27%E -6.26%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.23%EV -12.98%E -7.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.02%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (1)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.34% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.54% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |