Die Schule der Quoten

Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-30 00:30 UTC

Endstand: Cerro Porteño 1–1 Palmeiras-SP

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (11 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cerro Porteño (Heim)

Prognose 23.15%4.32faire Quote
EV +11.14%
Vorteil +2.32%
Kelly +2.93%
Wachstum +0.327%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.08%22.97%22.92%24.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.404.144.134.8029.41%24.18%24.21%20.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Palmeiras-SP (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.81%2.09faire Quote
EV -4.85%
Vorteil -2.44%
Kelly -4.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.99

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.23%48.15%47.99%52.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.751.881.901.9957.14%53.19%52.63%50.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.03%3.44faire Quote
EV +1.62%
Vorteil +0.461%
Kelly +0.646%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.22%28.88%29.09%29.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.903.233.253.5034.48%30.93%30.77%28.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-21 22:20
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010%2.9%2026-04-21 22:19
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +8.83%E +1.88%K +2.39%G +0.211%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -13.46%E -7.44%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 22:20
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:20
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:20
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:19
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -14.42%E -8.05%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 22:19
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 22:20
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:40
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:39
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV +0.261%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 16:29
1xBet4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.26%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 22:20
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:23
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:49
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 16:45
GTbets4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.26%EV -6.51%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 00:14
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 16:29
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 22:19
Pinnacle4.13I 24.21%NM 22.88%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.22%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -5.06%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 17:50
LowVig.ag4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 16:29
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 16:35
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 16:29
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:00
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:00
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:04
Suprabets3.98I 25.13%NM 23.02%EV -7.84%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.00%EV -8.26%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:52
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -10.85%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 00:40
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:29
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:29
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 16:35
Betclic (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 11:23
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.02%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.59%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.27%E -6.26%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.23%EV -12.98%E -7.13%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.02%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-23 11:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (1)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.34%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.54%13.6%2026-04-23 11:20