La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cerro Porteño (Local)
Predicción 23.15%4.32momio equitativo
EV +11.14%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +2.93%
Crecimiento +0.327%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.08%22.97%22.92%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.144.134.8029.41%24.18%24.21%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Palmeiras-SP (Visitante)
Predicción 47.81%2.09momio equitativo
EV -4.85%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -4.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.23%48.15%47.99%52.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.881.901.9957.14%53.19%52.63%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.03%3.44momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.461%
Kelly +0.646%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.22%28.88%29.09%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.233.253.5034.48%30.93%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.25%EV +11.14%E +2.32%K +2.93%G +0.327% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.98%EV -10.59%E -5.66%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV +1.62%E +0.461%K +0.646%G +0.010% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +8.83%E +1.88%K +2.39%G +0.211% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -13.46%E -7.44%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +6.51%E +1.42%K +1.81%G +0.118% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -14.42%E -8.05%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV +4.20%E +0.933%K +1.20%G +0.050% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV +0.261%E +0.060%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -13.94%E -7.74%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.26%EV -4.85%E -2.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.19%EV -4.48%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 22:20 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:23 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.29%E -0.379%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| GTbets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.26%EV -6.51%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -2.75%E -0.655%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -16.33%E -9.33%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 22:19 |
| Pinnacle | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.88%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.22%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.90%EV -5.06%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.13%EV -6.29%E -3.21%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| Suprabets | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.02%EV -7.84%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.00%EV -8.26%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -10.85%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -8.55%E -2.71%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.77%E -3.47%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -11.55%E -6.24%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -10.87%E -3.54%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 11:23 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.87%EV -11.07%E -5.95%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.02%EV -17.80%E -5.01%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.59%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.27%E -6.26%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.23%EV -12.98%E -7.13%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.02%EV -15.80%E -5.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.34% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.54% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |