Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toluca v Monterrey

2026-09-07 01:15 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toluca (Local)

Prediction 44.11%2.27fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.73%44.05%44.08%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.1750.00%47.40%47.17%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Visit)

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV -0.104%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%28.11%28.20%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.353.5532.79%30.35%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.77%27.84%27.72%29.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.203.5032.26%30.66%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toluca (Local): 44.11%; Monterrey (Visit): 28.14%; Draw: 27.75%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.554. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.550, with an expected value of -0.104%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.42%EV -6.58%E -1.98%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.73%EV -4.72%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.88%E -0.824%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:04
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.16%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.69%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -0.104%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.62%EV -8.16%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:01
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:16
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:24
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.36%E -3.51%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:15
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -8.69%E -4.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.88%E -0.824%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 00:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -14.17%E -4.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%3.9%2026-09-06 01:20