Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca v Monterrey

2026-09-07 01:15 UTC — Leagues Cup

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca (Local)

Prévision 44.12%2.27cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -3.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.73%44.05%44.08%45.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.122.1750.00%47.39%47.17%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.14%3.55cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.360%
Kelly +0.498%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.60%28.11%28.20%28.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.303.353.6032.79%30.34%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.75%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%27.84%27.72%29.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.203.5032.26%30.65%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Toluca (Local) : 44.12% ; Monterrey (Visiteur) : 28.14% ; Match nul : 27.75%. Pour Monterrey (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.60, pour une espérance positive de +1.30%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV +1.30%E +0.360%K +0.498%G +0.006%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.67%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 01:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -8.68%E -4.19%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:16
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.42%EV -6.58%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:04
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.73%EV -4.71%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-05 23:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-06 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05