L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Toluca v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 01:15 UTC

Score final : Toluca 2–0 Monterrey

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca (Local)

Prévision 46.16%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.02%46.11%46.19%47.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.032.052.0851.28%49.35%48.78%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.85%3.59cote équitable
EV +5.28%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%27.84%27.83%28.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.423.7832.26%29.49%29.20%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.99%3.85cote équitable
EV +0.054%
Avantage +0.014%
Kelly +0.019%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%26.05%25.98%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.403.8530.30%28.85%29.41%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 46.16% ; Monterrey (Visiteur) : 27.85% ; Match nul : 25.99%. Pour Monterrey (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.59. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.78, soit une espérance positive de +5.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.73%EV -8.14%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.13%EV +5.28%E +1.40%K +1.90%G +0.100%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 01:10
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:05
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.72%EV -4.91%E -2.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -3.91%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 01:10
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.91%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 00:55
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 00:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 00:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 01:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 01:10
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 01:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +0.054%E +0.014%K +0.019%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 01:10
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 00:49
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 00:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 01:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 00:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-09-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-09-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-09-07 01:10
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-09-07 01:10