Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toluca v Monterrey

2026-09-07 01:15 UTC — Leagues Cup

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toluca (Local)

Previsão 44.12%2.27odd justa
EV -4.27%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -3.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.73%44.05%44.08%45.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.122.1750.00%47.39%47.17%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Monterrey (Visitante)

Previsão 28.14%3.55odd justa
EV +1.30%
Vantagem +0.360%
Kelly +0.498%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.60%28.11%28.20%28.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.303.353.6032.79%30.34%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.75%3.60odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -0.826%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.77%27.84%27.72%29.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.263.203.5032.26%30.65%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toluca (Local): 44.12%; Monterrey (Visitante): 28.14%; Empate: 27.75%. Para Monterrey (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.55. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.60, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV +1.30%E +0.360%K +0.498%G +0.006%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.67%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 01:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -8.68%E -4.19%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:16
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.42%EV -6.58%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:04
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.73%EV -4.71%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-05 23:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-05 23:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-06 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-09-05 23:05