Idioma:Español
Toluca v Monterrey
Resultado del partido
Toluca (Local)
Predicción 44.12%2.27momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.73%44.05%44.08%45.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.122.1750.00%47.39%47.17%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Monterrey (Visitante)
Predicción 28.14%3.55momio equitativo
EV +1.30%
Ventaja +0.360%
Kelly +0.498%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.60%28.11%28.20%28.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.303.353.6032.79%30.34%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.75%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%27.84%27.72%29.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.263.203.5032.26%30.65%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toluca (Local): 44.12%; Monterrey (Visitante): 28.14%; Empate: 27.75%. Para Monterrey (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.55. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.30%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.74%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV +1.30%E +0.360%K +0.498%G +0.006% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.67%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -8.68%E -4.19%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.42%EV -6.58%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.73%EV -4.71%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.56%E -4.66%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -11.77%E -5.88%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |