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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Toluca v Monterrey

Inizio: 2026-09-07 01:15 UTC

Finale: Toluca 2–0 Monterrey

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toluca (Casa)

Previsione 46.16%2.17quota equa
EV -3.99%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.02%46.11%46.19%47.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.032.052.0851.28%49.35%48.78%48.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Monterrey (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.85%3.59quota equa
EV +5.28%
Vantaggio +1.40%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescita +0.100%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.13%27.84%27.83%28.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.393.423.7832.26%29.49%29.20%26.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.99%3.85quota equa
EV +0.054%
Vantaggio +0.014%
Kelly +0.019%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.72%26.05%25.98%27.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.473.403.8530.30%28.85%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toluca (Casa): 46.16%; Monterrey (Trasferta): 27.85%; Pareggio: 25.99%. Per Monterrey (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.59. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.78, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.28%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.73%EV -8.14%E -4.09%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.13%EV +5.28%E +1.40%K +1.90%G +0.100%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 01:10
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:05
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -4.45%E -2.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.52%E -0.719%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.72%EV -4.91%E -2.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -3.91%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 01:10
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.91%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -12.94%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 00:55
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 00:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 00:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 01:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 00:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-07 01:10
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 01:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.30%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +0.054%E +0.014%K +0.019%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 01:10
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.09%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 00:49
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 00:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 01:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.48%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 00:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.66%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 00:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-09-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-09-07 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-09-07 01:10
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-09-07 01:10