语言:简体中文
Toluca v Austin FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toluca (主队)
预测 57.71%1.73公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -2.70%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
55.62%57.68%57.88%60.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.631.621.7065.36%61.52%61.73%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
Austin FC (客队)
预测 18.59%5.38公平赔率
EV +6.89%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.100%
假设最高赔率为 5.75
博彩公司预测分布
16.61%18.47%18.53%19.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.075.105.7522.22%19.73%19.61%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.70%4.22公平赔率
EV -0.457%
优势 -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.72%23.86%23.59%25.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.45%27.03%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toluca (主队)：57.71%；Austin FC (客队)：18.59%；平局：23.70%。 对于“Austin FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.38。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.75，对应+6.89%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.22%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV +3.36%E +0.604%K +0.736%G +0.025% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.83%E -0.689%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.70%E -7.65%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 12:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV +0.382%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 00:21 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.31%EV -2.59%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -3.30%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -3.34%E -0.641%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-27 00:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.70%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.457%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 00:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 00:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 00:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.78%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 00:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |