Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toluca v Austin FC

Inizio: 2026-08-27 00:42 UTC

Finale: Toluca 2–0 Austin FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toluca (Casa)

Previsione 57.71%1.73quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.62%57.68%57.88%60.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.631.621.7065.36%61.52%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Austin FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.59%5.38quota equa
EV +6.89%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.100%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.61%18.47%18.53%19.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.075.105.7522.22%19.73%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.70%4.22quota equa
EV -0.457%
Vantaggio -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.72%23.86%23.59%25.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.45%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toluca (Casa): 57.71%; Austin FC (Trasferta): 18.59%; Pareggio: 23.70%. Per Austin FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.38. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.89%.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 00:24
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.22%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV +3.36%E +0.604%K +0.736%G +0.025%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 00:24
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.83%E -0.689%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.70%E -7.65%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 12:48
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV +0.382%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 00:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 00:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.31%EV -2.59%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -3.30%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -3.34%E -0.641%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 00:21
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.70%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.457%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 00:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 00:23
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 00:18
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 00:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-27 00:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.78%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 00:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 00:19
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:18
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-27 00:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-27 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-27 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-08-27 00:25
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-27 00:25