Langue:Français
Toluca v Austin FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 57.71%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.62%57.68%57.88%60.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.631.621.7065.36%61.52%61.73%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Austin FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.59%5.38cote équitable
EV +6.89%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.100%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.61%18.47%18.53%19.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.075.105.7522.22%19.73%19.61%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.70%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.457%
Avantage -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.72%23.86%23.59%25.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.45%27.03%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 57.71% ; Austin FC (Visiteur) : 18.59% ; Match nul : 23.70%. Pour Austin FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.38. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +6.89%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.22%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV +3.36%E +0.604%K +0.736%G +0.025% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.83%E -0.689%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.70%E -7.65%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-26 12:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV +0.382%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 00:21 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.31%EV -2.59%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -3.30%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-27 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -3.34%E -0.641%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-27 00:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.70%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.457%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 00:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 00:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 00:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.78%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-27 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-27 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-27 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 00:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 0.9% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 00:25 |