StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca v Austin FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-27 00:42 UTC

Endstand: Toluca 2–0 Austin FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Toluca (Heim)

Prognose 57.71%1.73faire Quote
EV -1.89%
Vorteil -1.11%
Kelly -2.70%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.62%57.68%57.88%60.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.631.621.7065.36%61.52%61.73%58.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.59%5.38faire Quote
EV +6.89%
Vorteil +1.20%
Kelly +1.45%
Wachstum +0.100%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.61%18.47%18.53%19.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.075.105.7522.22%19.73%19.61%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.70%4.22faire Quote
EV -0.457%
Vorteil -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.72%23.86%23.59%25.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.45%27.03%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Toluca (Heim): 57.71%; Austin FC (Auswärts): 18.59%; Unentschieden: 23.70%. Für Austin FC (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.38. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.89%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 00:24
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.22%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV +3.36%E +0.604%K +0.736%G +0.025%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 00:24
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.83%E -0.689%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.70%E -7.65%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 12:48
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV +0.382%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 00:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 00:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.31%EV -2.59%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -3.30%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -3.34%E -0.641%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 00:21
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.70%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.457%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 00:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 00:23
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 00:18
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 00:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-27 00:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.78%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 00:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 00:19
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:18
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-27 00:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-27 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-27 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-08-27 00:25
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-27 00:25