StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca v Austin FC

Matchstart: 2026-08-27 00:42 UTC

Slutresultat: Toluca 2–0 Austin FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Toluca (Hemma)

Prognos 57.71%1.73rättvist odds
EV -1.89%
Fördel -1.11%
Kelly -2.70%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.62%57.68%57.88%60.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.631.621.7065.36%61.52%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Borta)

Prognos 18.59%5.38rättvist odds
EV +6.89%
Fördel +1.20%
Kelly +1.45%
Tillväxt +0.100%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.61%18.47%18.53%19.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.075.105.7522.22%19.73%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.70%4.22rättvist odds
EV -0.457%
Fördel -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.72%23.86%23.59%25.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.783.704.2028.57%26.45%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Toluca (Hemma): 57.71%; Austin FC (Borta): 18.59%; Oavgjort: 23.70%. För Austin FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.38. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.89%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV +6.89%E +1.20%K +1.45%G +0.100%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.06%EV -5.91%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 00:24
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.22%EV -5.93%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.07%EV +3.36%E +0.604%K +0.736%G +0.025%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 00:24
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.83%E -0.689%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -11.70%E -7.65%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV +2.24%E +0.408%K +0.498%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 12:48
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.10%EV -8.24%E -5.18%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.40%EV +0.382%E +0.071%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 00:24
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 00:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -2.41%E -0.458%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.31%EV -2.59%E -0.495%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.52%EV -3.30%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.51%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -3.34%E -0.641%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 00:21
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.70%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.02%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.19%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.457%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 00:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 00:23
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.77%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -14.68%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 00:18
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 00:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.05%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-27 00:24
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.78%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.12%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 00:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.94%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 00:19
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:18
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.77%E -2.24%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -17.05%E -4.87%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-27 00:19
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.40%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.70%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.31%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -12.63%E -2.69%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -5.20%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-27 00:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -16.35%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.57%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 00:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-27 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-27 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-08-27 00:25
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.03%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-27 00:25