Language:English
Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 49.30%2.03fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.62%49.31%49.33%51.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.881.9357.14%53.42%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)
Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.71%27.21%27.23%28.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6232.26%29.74%29.85%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -0.912%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.48%23.44%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.863.854.1430.30%25.88%25.97%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 49.30%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 27.23%; Draw: 23.46%. For Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -3.59%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.53%EV -1.41%E -0.390%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -2.86%E -0.692%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -10.37%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.61%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:52 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -9.28%E -5.04%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 11:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -22.57%E -6.84%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 11:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.76%E -5.95%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -12.73%E -7.19%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -13.72%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 11:55 |