La scuola delle quote

Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inizio: 2026-05-16 12:00 UTC

Finale: Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Casa)

Previsione 49.30%2.03quota equa
EV -4.84%
Vantaggio -2.51%
Kelly -5.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.62%49.31%49.33%51.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.871.881.9357.14%53.42%53.19%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.23%3.67quota equa
EV -1.41%
Vantaggio -0.390%
Kelly -0.539%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.71%27.21%27.23%28.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.363.353.6232.26%29.74%29.85%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.46%4.26quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -0.692%
Kelly -0.912%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.74%23.48%23.44%25.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.863.854.1430.30%25.88%25.97%24.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -3.59%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.53%EV -1.41%E -0.390%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -2.86%E -0.692%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 11:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -10.37%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:50
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:55
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:50
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.61%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:35
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:52
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:35
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:40
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:35
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:35
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -9.28%E -5.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:45
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -22.57%E -6.84%K -9.81%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 11:38
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.76%E -5.95%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -12.73%E -7.19%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 11:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -13.72%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-16 11:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-05-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-05-16 11:55
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.0%2026-05-16 11:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-05-16 11:55