مدرسة الاحتمالات

Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai Shenhua FC

البداية: 2026-05-16 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.30%2.03السعر العادل
EV -4.84%
الأفضلية -2.51%
Kelly -5.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.62%49.31%49.33%51.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.871.881.9357.14%53.42%53.19%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.23%3.67السعر العادل
EV -1.41%
الأفضلية -0.390%
Kelly -0.539%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.71%27.21%27.23%28.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.363.353.6232.26%29.74%29.85%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.46%4.26السعر العادل
EV -2.86%
الأفضلية -0.692%
Kelly -0.912%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.74%23.48%23.44%25.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.863.854.1430.30%25.88%25.97%24.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -3.59%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.53%EV -1.41%E -0.390%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -2.86%E -0.692%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 11:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -10.37%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:50
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:55
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:50
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.61%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:35
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:52
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:35
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:40
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:35
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:35
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -9.28%E -5.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:45
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -22.57%E -6.84%K -9.81%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 11:38
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.76%E -5.95%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -12.73%E -7.19%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 11:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -13.72%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-16 11:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-05-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-05-16 11:55
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.0%2026-05-16 11:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-05-16 11:55