L’École des cotes

Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 49.30%2.03cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -5.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.62%49.31%49.33%51.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.881.9357.14%53.42%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.390%
Kelly -0.539%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.71%27.21%27.23%28.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.353.6232.26%29.74%29.85%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -0.912%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.74%23.48%23.44%25.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.863.854.1430.30%25.88%25.97%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -3.59%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.28%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.53%EV -1.41%E -0.390%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.20%EV -2.86%E -0.692%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 11:50
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:40
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -10.37%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:50
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:55
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:50
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -6.82%E -3.61%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:35
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:52
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:35
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.32%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:35
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:40
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:35
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.35%EV -8.30%E -4.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 11:35
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.79%E -4.75%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -15.53%E -4.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -9.28%E -5.04%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 11:45
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -9.77%E -5.34%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -22.57%E -6.84%K -9.81%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 11:38
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.76%E -5.95%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -6.15%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%EV -11.25%E -6.25%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -12.73%E -7.19%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 11:35
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -13.72%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -10.84%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-16 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-05-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-05-16 11:55
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.0%2026-05-16 11:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-05-16 11:55