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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Prediction 33.43%2.99fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.73%33.63%33.35%36.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.752.753.0441.67%36.35%36.36%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beijing FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.53%39.73%39.85%43.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.312.322.4046.30%43.21%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +0.303%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.64%26.80%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.27%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 33.43%; Beijing FC (Visit): 39.83%; Draw: 26.75%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.73%EV +1.62%E +0.531%K +0.792%G +0.013% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -13.97%E -6.47%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.85%EV -2.06%E -0.704%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.70%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.303%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 11:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -19.78%E -8.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |