语言:简体中文
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Beijing FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (主队)
预测 33.43%2.99公平赔率
EV +1.62%
优势 +0.531%
Kelly +0.792%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 3.04
博彩公司预测分布
30.73%33.63%33.35%36.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.752.753.0441.67%36.35%36.36%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
Beijing FC (客队)
预测 39.83%2.51公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
38.53%39.73%39.85%43.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.162.312.322.4046.30%43.21%43.10%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.75%3.74公平赔率
EV +0.303%
优势 +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.91%26.64%26.80%27.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.27%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (主队)：33.43%；Beijing FC (客队)：39.83%；平局：26.75%。 对于“Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.99。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.04，对应+1.62%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.73%EV +1.62%E +0.531%K +0.792%G +0.013% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -13.97%E -6.47%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.85%EV -2.06%E -0.704%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.70%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.303%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 11:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -19.78%E -8.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |