Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Beijing FC

Inizio: 2026-08-15 11:35 UTC

Finale: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 2–4 Beijing FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Casa)

Previsione 33.43%2.99quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.531%
Kelly +0.792%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.73%33.63%33.35%36.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.752.753.0441.67%36.35%36.36%32.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Beijing FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.83%2.51quota equa
EV -4.42%
Vantaggio -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.53%39.73%39.85%43.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.162.312.322.4046.30%43.21%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.75%3.74quota equa
EV +0.303%
Vantaggio +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.91%26.64%26.80%27.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.27%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Casa): 33.43%; Beijing FC (Trasferta): 39.83%; Pareggio: 26.75%. Per Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.99. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.04, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.62%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.73%EV +1.62%E +0.531%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -13.97%E -6.47%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.85%EV -2.06%E -0.704%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:25
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.70%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:29
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:30
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:28
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:24
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:26
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.303%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 11:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:24
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 10:30
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -19.78%E -8.24%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-15 09:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-08-15 11:25