Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 11:35 UTC

Score final : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 2–4 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 33.43%2.99cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.531%
Kelly +0.792%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.73%33.63%33.35%36.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.752.753.0441.67%36.35%36.36%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.83%2.51cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.53%39.73%39.85%43.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.162.312.322.4046.30%43.21%43.10%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.75%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.303%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%26.64%26.80%27.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.27%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local) : 33.43% ; Beijing FC (Visiteur) : 39.83% ; Match nul : 26.75%. Pour Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.04, soit une espérance positive de +1.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.73%EV +1.62%E +0.531%K +0.792%G +0.013%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -13.97%E -6.47%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.85%EV -2.06%E -0.704%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:25
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.70%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:29
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:30
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:28
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:24
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:29
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 10:26
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.303%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 11:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:24
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 10:30
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -19.78%E -8.24%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-15 09:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-08-15 11:30
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-08-15 11:25