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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Beijing FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Predicción 33.43%2.99momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.531%
Kelly +0.792%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.73%33.63%33.35%36.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.752.753.0441.67%36.35%36.36%32.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Beijing FC (Visitante)
Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.53%39.73%39.85%43.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.312.322.4046.30%43.21%43.10%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.75%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.303%
Ventaja +0.081%
Kelly +0.110%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%26.64%26.80%27.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.27%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 33.43%; Beijing FC (Visitante): 39.83%; Empate: 26.75%. Para Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.99. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.04, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.62%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.73%EV +1.62%E +0.531%K +0.792%G +0.013% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -13.97%E -6.47%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.02%EV -3.98%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.85%EV -2.06%E -0.704%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -4.81%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.24%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.19%EV -6.01%E -2.55%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.70%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.71%EV -8.79%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.74%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.97%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -8.00%E -3.46%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.99%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.41%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.08%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +0.303%E +0.081%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -7.60%E -3.28%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.75%E -3.61%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 11:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -12.09%E -4.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.30%EV -11.19%E -5.02%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.41%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.09%E -5.04%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -19.78%E -8.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |