Language:English
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.63%39.43%39.38%40.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4746.51%42.74%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV -0.582%
Edge -0.188%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.47%32.04%32.23%32.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.853.1037.04%34.92%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.55%3.50fair odd
EV -0.076%
Edge -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.53%28.39%30.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.5033.33%31.01%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 39.38%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 32.07%; Draw: 28.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.503. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.500, with an expected value of -0.076%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -2.83%E -0.933%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -6.07%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.28%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -9.21%E -2.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.71%EV -2.36%E -0.690%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -7.06%E -2.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -0.582%E -0.188%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.076%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 07:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.33%E -7.13%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
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