Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Início: 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 2–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Previsão 39.38%2.54odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.63%39.43%39.38%40.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.342.352.4746.51%42.74%42.55%40.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Previsão 32.07%3.12odd justa
EV -0.582%
Vantagem -0.188%
Kelly -0.277%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.47%32.04%32.23%32.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.862.853.1037.04%34.92%35.09%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.55%3.50odd justa
EV -0.076%
Vantagem -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.92%28.53%28.39%30.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.253.5033.33%31.01%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 39.38%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante): 32.07%; Empate: 28.55%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.503. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.500, com valor esperado de -0.076%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -2.83%E -0.933%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -6.07%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.28%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -9.21%E -2.90%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 11:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 11:54
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:54
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:54
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.71%EV -2.36%E -0.690%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:35
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:53
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:53
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -7.06%E -2.99%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -0.582%E -0.188%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.076%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 11:09
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 11:54
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:44
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 07:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 07:35
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 07:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 07:35
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 07:35
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 07:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 07:34
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:38
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 11:54
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 11:54
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 11:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 11:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 11:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.33%E -7.13%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 11:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-08-02 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-08-02 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-08-02 11:50
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-08-02 11:55
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-02 11:55