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Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Predicción 39.38%2.54momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.63%39.43%39.38%40.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.352.4746.51%42.74%42.55%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)
Predicción 32.07%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.582%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.277%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.47%32.04%32.23%32.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.862.853.1037.04%34.92%35.09%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -0.076%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%28.53%28.39%30.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.253.5033.33%31.01%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 39.38%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante): 32.07%; Empate: 28.55%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.503. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.500, con un valor esperado de -0.076%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -2.83%E -0.933%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -6.07%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.28%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -9.21%E -2.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.71%EV -2.36%E -0.690%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -7.06%E -2.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -0.582%E -0.188%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.076%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 07:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.33%E -7.13%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |