Язык:Русский
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 39.38%2.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.73%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -1.86%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.47
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.63%39.43%39.38%40.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.342.352.4746.51%42.74%42.55%40.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Гости)
Прогноз 32.07%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.582%
Преимущество -0.188%
Kelly -0.277%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.47%32.04%32.23%32.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.862.853.1037.04%34.92%35.09%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.55%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.076%
Преимущество -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.92%28.53%28.39%30.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.223.253.5033.33%31.01%30.77%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Хозяева): 39.38%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Гости): 32.07%; Ничья: 28.55%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.503. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.500, математическое ожидание — -0.076%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -2.83%E -0.933%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.26%EV -6.07%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.52%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -3.91%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.45%EV -5.09%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.40%EV -8.28%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -9.21%E -2.90%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -5.49%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.35%E -4.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.83%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.71%EV -2.36%E -0.690%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 11:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.02%EV -7.06%E -2.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -0.582%E -0.188%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.076%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -3.79%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.46%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.87%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.64%E -3.72%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 07:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -2.93%E -0.862%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 11:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -4.36%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.64%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.81%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -10.07%E -3.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 07:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.79%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.33%E -7.13%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -7.21%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |