La scuola delle quote

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2026-08-02 12:00 UTC — Super League - China

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22 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Casa)

Previsione 44.26%2.26quota equa
EV -4.41%
Vantaggio -2.04%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.43%44.33%44.16%45.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.072.092.1652.08%48.36%47.85%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.61%3.49quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.797%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.70%28.55%28.67%29.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.213.223.4035.09%31.18%31.06%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.13%3.69quota equa
EV -5.05%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.42%27.12%27.17%28.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.373.403.5031.75%29.65%29.41%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%EV -4.41%E -2.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.63%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 13:20
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.06%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.88%EV -6.14%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 13:25
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 12:30
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -7.29%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 12:50
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 12:30
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 12:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 15:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 13:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 13:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 13:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 13:15
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 12:30
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.28%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.28%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.28%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 18:30
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.28%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.28%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 12:30
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.28%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -11.49%E -5.74%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.49%E -5.74%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-26 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.03%EV -12.37%E -6.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -15.59%E -5.28%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.42%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 43.80%EV -15.03%E -7.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.51%EV -18.45%E -6.47%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.70%EV -14.54%E -4.62%K -6.76%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.